Cooperative Security in South Asia
C. Raja
Mohan |
Introduction
The notion of collective
security has always
been attractive to students
of international affairs.
Yet, it has also been
the most elusive in
practice. Throughout
the evolution of Westphalian
system of international
relations, many saw
that the concept of
collective security
was the only alternative
to perpetual war and
conflict. Rooted in
the principle of 'all
for one and one for
all', the idea of collective
security posits that
peace cannot be secured
in an environment of
self-help and balance
of power1. This notion
is contested by realists
who insist that pursuit
of power, conflict and
hegemony are natural
conditions of international
system and that it is
not possible for states
to put collective interest
above that of the national
interest2. The context
of this age-old argument,
however, has been transformed
in recent decades amidst
the rise of a number
of new concepts such
as common security,
comprehensive security,
cooperative security,
and human security.
Common security emphasises
the reality of interdependence
among adversarial states
and the importance of
developing shared perspectives3.
Comprehensive security
brings into consideration
many traditional non-military
challenges4. The proponents
of human security challenge
the traditional state-centric
model of security and
demand that peace and
well being of the individual
receive the primary
focus5.
It
is easy to argue from
the traditional perspective
that given the deep
divisions and security
problems within the
subcontinent, the idea
of collective security
is not attainable in
the foreseeable future.
Could 'collective self-defence’
-- a lesser form than
collective security
be considered an appropriate
model for South Asia?
Different regions in
recent history -- most
notably Europe and South
East Asia -- have put
in place varying forms
of collective self-defence
arrangements. Collective
self-defence was successful
in Europe, given the
common threat faced
by the West European
nations during the Cold
War from the Soviet
Union. Under the leadership
of the United States,
the West European states
found it necessary to
bury their past differences
which led to a series
of wars and face the
perceived all-encompassing
threat from the Soviet
Union in a united manner.
In South East Asia,
too, shared internal
and external threats
allowed security cooperation
among the regional states.
South
Asia, however, has found
it hard to emulate either
West Europe which had
alliance-based collective
defence arrangements
or South East Asia with
its looser forms of
regional cooperation.
While the Cold War dynamics
forced stronger forms
of cooperation in West
Europe and South East
Asia, they sharpened
the intra-regional security
problems in the subcontinent.
The impact of the Cold
War accentuated the
problems between India
and Pakistan that arose
out of the Partition.
India and Pakistan joined
the opposing coalitions
of the global Cold War.
While the alliances
they formed -- Pakistan
with U.S. and China
and India with the Soviet
Union -- seemed to provide
stability at one level,
they also created the
conditions for long-term
instability in the region.
The combination of regional
and global dynamics
meant that, let alone
collective security
or collective self-defence,
the states of South
Asia found it impossible
to have even normal
neighbourly relations.
While South Asia is
a long way from implementing
either collective security
or collective self-defence,
the traditional debate
on security in the region
has been altered by
the impulses of globalisation
as well as regional
developments.
South
Asian Security after
the Cold War
The end of the Cold
War at the global level
did not match any of
the expectations for
a peace dividend in
South Asia. The 1990s
seemed a depressing
decade for the subcontinent
in terms of peace and
development. The early
hopeful signs of democratisation
at the turn of the decade
vanished into thin air
by the time the new
millennium arrived.
The Army returned to
the centre-stage in
Pakistan amidst the
incompetence of its
political class. Democratic
politics in Nepal failed
to deliver, and the
parliamentary system
in Bangladesh degenerated
into a war of bandhs.
The rapid dissipation
of the hopes for more
representative and effective
governance in the subcontinent
during the 1990s was
accompanied by the rise
of religious extremism
and anti-modernism in
the region, exemplified
most significantly by
the Taliban in Afghanistan.
The northwestern parts
of the subcontinent
became the epicentre
of terrorism in the
world, with an impact
that ranged from Tanzania
to Tajikistan and Manhattan
to Mindanao. In India,
the destructive trail
of the Hindutva ideology
moved from the demolition
of the Babri Masjid
to the gruesome communal
riots during early 2002
in Gujarat. Civil wars
from Kashmir to Jaffna
meanwhile raged on,
with victims countless
for any one to enumerate.
The introduction of
nuclear weapons, covertly
at the turn of the 1990s
and overtly at the end
of the decade, combined
the weapons of mass
destruction with violence,
terrorism, jihad and
inter-state conflict.
All optimism for the
future of the subcontinent
-- either in terms of
internal security or
inter-state security
-- appeared to have
been smothered.
Yet
the very negative developments
in the subcontinent
carried within them
the seeds of a radical
transformation of the
region. The international
impact of the extremist
forces -- dramatised
on September 11, 2001
-- inevitably drew retribution
from the sole super-power
of the international
system. Never mind the
irony that it was the
U.S. policy of pitting
jihadis against godless
Soviet communists in
Afghanistan in the 1980s
that produced Osama
bin Ladin and his jihadi
allies6. The American
War on terrorism has
had its intended and
unintended consequences.
The Taliban was ousted,
and the Army in Pakistan
has become the instrument
to clean up the jihadi
mess that was nurtured
by it in the 1980s and
1990s. Equally important,
it has focused international
attention on the subcontinent
and its intra-state
and inter-state wars.
Never in the past has
the international system
paid so much attention
to the problems of regional
security in South Asia.
During the Cold War,
the external environment
complicated the security
politics of South Asia.
Now an external environment
may be emerging that
is favourable to a reasonable
resolution of South
Asia's security challenges7.
The
accumulated impact of
globalisation on the
politics and economics
of the subcontinent
over the last decade
has begun to reveal
a radical transformation.
The Indo-Pak military
confrontation since
the attack on parliament
on December 13, 2001
has brought the Anglo-American
powers into play in
a manner that has not
been seen since the
early 1960s. The prospect,
however remote, of a
war between India and
Pakistan escalating
into a nuclear exchange
has forced the international
community to explore
a final resolution of
the underlying political
conflict between the
subcontinental rivals.
The Kashmir question
is not the only one
among the regional conflicts
that is on the Anglo-American
radar. The expansive
American war on terrorism
has brought the United
States, with Britain
in tow, and the European
Union into a political
effort to deal with
the other security challenges
in South Asia -- the
tragic war in Sri Lanka
and the Maoist insurgency
in Nepal. The world
has begun to impinge
on the subcontinent.
Along with the global
war on terror that is
focused on Afghanistan,
there have been Anglo-American
efforts to defuse the
Indo-Pak tensions, the
Norwegian mediation
between the Singhalese
and Tamils in Sri Lanka,
and the international
initiative on Nepal
led by Britain. The
security dynamics of
the subcontinent are
being altered irreversibly.
But
external environment
alone is not enough
to resolve regional
security problems. It
needs political courage
and statesmanship within
the region to grasp
the new challenges as
well as opportunities
for peace and development
in the subcontinent.
To some extent the pressures
from below are already
forcing states in the
region to act more purposefully.
After a series of military
crises and real wars,
India and Pakistan have
finally recognised the
importance of a sustained
bilateral engagement
that would involve both
bilateral cooperation
and conflict resolution.
There is also recognition
throughout South Asia
that the time has come
to deal with the civil
wars within the region
in a more innovative
and political manner
rather than trying to
deal with them as law
and order problems.
The current efforts
at peace within the
region can at best be
characterised as 'work
in progress' with no
guaranteed prospect
of success. But there
is no denying the fact
that the assumptions
and premises on how
to end conflict have
begun to be questioned
and revised in a fundamental
manner. That is a reason
for hope.
More
subtle, but even more
significant, has been
the consequences of
economic globalisation
in the 1990s. Under
pressure from the 'Washington
Consensus', all nations
of the subcontinent
have adopted liberal
economic policies. As
they open up their markets
to the world, the South
Asian states are discovering
that they cannot keep
them closed to their
own neighbour, India.
While Islamabad continues
to resist normal trade
relations with New Delhi,
some of the smaller
countries of the region
have begun to acknowledge
that their economic
future is now intertwined
with that of India.
There is no escape from
the logic of globalisation
that demands deeper
trade relations and
economic integration
with India. Meanwhile
proposals for mega-projects
for pipelines and transportation
corridors, straddling
across borders in South
Asia, promise to further
deepen economic integration
in the subcontinent.
Whatever
might be its other negative
consequences, the relentless
pressures of globalisation
are helping to break
down the economic walls
within the subcontinent.
Trade volumes within
South Asia have begun
to surge, although entirely
in India's favour at
the moment. Bangladesh
and Sri Lanka are among
the top ten export destinations
for Indian goods. Nothing
less than a reversal
of the economic partition
of the subcontinent
is now on the cards.
After British India
was partitioned into
separate states, insular
economic policies and
political differences
had made borders into
high-security barriers.
Now globalisation offers
the prospect of transforming
these borders into zones
of economic cooperation
and reconnect regions
that were once part
of the same economic
and cultural space.
India:
Towards Positive Unilateralism
For all its own internal
difficulties, the task
of leading the region
towards economic and
political moderation,
and social development
inevitably falls on
New Delhi. One of the
most significant developments
in India since 1991
has been radical rethinking
about the relevance
of a more effective
regionalism in the subcontinent
and a sea change in
the Indian policy towards
her smaller neighbors8.
This was based on the
recognition of the acute
crisis that had enveloped
India's relations with
her neighbours at the
turn of the 1990s. At
the heart of the changing
Indian policy towards
the neighbors is the
so-called 'Gujral doctrine'',
named after Inder Kumar
Gujral who served as
the external affairs
minister during 1996-97
and as prime minister
during 1997-989. The
doctrine argued that
if India's neighbours
were willing to respect
India's security concerns,
New Delhi would not
insist on reciprocity
in resolving bilateral
problems. Mr. Gujral's
willingness to go more
than half the distance
in resolving the long-standing
problems of the subcontinent
was followed by his
successors. Although
the doctrine was named
after Mr. Gujral, given
his enthusiastic articulation
of it, the broad lines
of it were followed
by the government of
P.V. Narasimha Rao,
(1991-96) and that of
Atal Behari Vajpayee,
who followed Gujral.
Yashwant Sinha, foreign
minister under the BJP
led coalition explicitly
acknowledged the debt
to his predecessors
and the Vajpayee government's
commitment to take it
forward. He has coined
a new expression for
the core of 'Gujral
Doctrine', namely to
'institutionalising
positive asymmetry in
favour of our neighbours'10.
No
state bases its policy
on altruism. India's
new regional policy
has been guided by three
imperatives. First is
the recognition that
India cannot fulfill
its aspirations for
a larger international
profile without addressing
its problems in the
neighbourhood. The real
tensions in India's
relations with all its
neighbours will act
as a huge fetter on
its attempts to become
a major power on the
global scene. India
cannot run away from
its neighbourhood. However
frustrating it might
be, there is no alternative
available to Indian
diplomacy other than
a substantive and patient
engagement of its neighbours.
Second,
as it coped with the
emerging globalisation
of regional security,
India had to discard
much of its traditional
baggage about the role
of other major powers
in the subcontinent.
Shedding the past suspicion
of the major powers
has become necessary.
In the past, New Delhi
had sought to keep the
other powers out of
the region, claiming
some kind of an exclusive
mandate as a regional
power to manage the
affairs of the subcontinent.
That approach has been
neither credible nor
effective. New Delhi
does not have the luxury
of pursuing a kind of
Monroe doctrine for
the region. Instead
of trying to keep other
powers out of the region,
India must work with
them to promote economic
modernisation, social
harmony, and political
moderation. The old
way of looking at the
internationalisation
of South Asian security
is to define it as a
set back. The other
is to take advantage
of the trend to achieve
India's interests. India's
focus is slowly shifting
away from mechanics
to political outcomes.
Third,
India has begun to recognise
that it has a huge stake
in the rapid economic
development of its neighbourhood.
The economic performance
of India has been the
best in South Asia during
the decade of 1990s.
But that rapid development
is no guarantor of stability
in South Asia. Without
all boats rising in
South Asia at the same
time, India can neither
prosper nor be secure.
While globalisation
is chipping away at
the notion of South
Asia as an exclusive
sphere of influence
of India, it is reinforcing
the primacy of the Indian
market in the long-term
evolution of the South
Asian economies. The
integration of the markets
of the subcontinent
over the coming decades
is inevitable. This
has opened the doors
for unilateral Indian
initiatives to promote
economic integration
and political stability
in South Asia.
Globalisation
is beckoning India with
the prospect of resolving
long-standing conflicts
in the region and re-integrating
the South Asian market.
If India can think big
and act bold, a prosperous
subcontinent is within
the realm of political
imagination. An Indian
strategy to shape such
a future would involve
shedding excessive suspicion
of other great powers,
finding ways to act
in cooperation with
them, and discarding
the old slogans on 'internationalisation',
'bilateralism' and 'reciprocity'.
Such a strategy must
consider unilateral
economic actions that
will accelerate integration
of the region. Instead,
embarking on tortuous
bilateral negotiations
on trade with the smaller
neighbours, India can
alter the economic dynamics
of the region through
unilateral actions.
Security multilateralism
and positive economic
unilateralism from India
are the keys to a different
future of the subcontinent.
Towards
Cooperative Security
While collective security
and collective self-defence
will remain unrealisable
goals, the changed global
and regional context
allows the nations of
the subcontinent to
pursue cooperative security.
'Cooperative Security'
is an idea, which gained
currency in the discourse
on East-West relations
after the fall of the
Berlin Wall in 1989.
During the 1990s many
European institutions
like the Organisation
for Security and Cooperation
(OSCE) and North Atlantic
Treaty Organisation
began to use the term
to denote the changing
relations with Russia
and former Soviet Republics.
At the same time there
was also profound skepticism
about the concept in
many policy quarters
in the Western world.
There is no real consensus
on the meaning of the
term 'Cooperative Security'.
Among the several definitions
that tend to compete
include cooperation
between great powers,
comprehensive cooperation,
and cooperation to overcome
prior conflict11.
But in a more narrower
and precise sense, Cooperative
Security could be understood
as policies of governments,
which see themselves
as former adversaries
or potential adversaries
to shift from or avoid
confrontationist policies.
Cooperative security
essentially reflects
a policy of dealing
peacefully with conflicts,
not merely by abstention
from violence or threats,
but by active engagement
in negotiation and a
search for practical
solution and with a
commitment to preventive
measures. Cooperative
security assumes the
existence of a condition
in which the two sides
possess the military
capabilities to harm
each other. It also
assumes a political
willingness to negotiate
about one's own means
of violence with an
adversary -- current,
former or potential.
According to Olaf F.
Knudsen, 'Cooperative
security implies a tentative
mental conversion of
the parties to an attitude
of good faith to the
other side, an acceptance
of letting the relationship
function, loosely, on
the basis of the principle
of transparency12'.
Establishing cooperative
security runs into a
complex process of building
confidence and trust
and there could be repeated
failures. The Indo-Pak
experience of recent
years can be described
as a struggle to come
to terms with cooperative
security. Immediately
after their respective
nuclear tests of May
1998, the two sides
sought to initiate an
engagement. The events
since then have included
high profile summitry
to achieve political
breakthroughs as well
as war and conflict.
The failure of these
initial attempts, however,
has reinforced the importance
of finding ways to minimise
conflict as well as
expanding cooperation.
Unlike
'collective security',
cooperative security
is not rooted in idealist
notions of how the world
ought to be. Cooperative
security also accepts
the reality on the ground
that an alliance like
relationship between
India and all her neighbours
is not possible in the
foreseeable future.
But the idea of cooperative
security recognises
the reality of profound
interdependence among
the South Asian nations
in both economic and
security realms. The
imperatives of this
new interdependence
range from common steps
to avoid a nuclear war
between India and Pakistan
to the actualisation
of a free trade area
in the subcontinent13.
It could indeed be argued
that the outlines of
such a cooperative security
regime in South Asia
have begun to emerge.
The challenge now is
to lend political energy
to the processes of
problem-solving and
accelerate wide ranging
regional cooperation.
The
12th SAARC summit has
helped lift the profound
veil of pessimism that
had engulfed the prospects
of SAARC. The signing
of a framework free
trade agreement has
launched a new era of
cooperation in hard
areas of commerce and
trade. While many elements
of detail need to be
sorted out, the agreement
to create SAFTA is indeed
a turning point in the
evolution of South Asian
regionalism and has
restored the intuitional
credibility of SAARC.
The 12th SAARC Summit
has also opened the
doors for thinking about
trans-border energy
cooperation and even
bolder concepts such
as common currency.
It has also talked about
engaging other regional
groupings and nations
to widen the ambit of
regional and trans-regional
economic integration.
While much hard work
remains to be done,
it has created the basis
for optimism about future
direction of regionalism
in the subcontinent.
Cooperative
security is premised
on the assumption that
states will act in their
own self-interest. That
self-interest is evident
in the case for regional
free trade and trans-border
energy cooperation.
Yet, states in the region
have been unable to
act even when it serves
their own national interest.
While Sri Lanka has
shown a forward-looking
vision for economic
cooperation, the same
cannot be said about
others. Bangladesh seems
reluctant to follow
the logic of regional
integration despite
being increasingly tied
to the Indian economy.
Pakistan too holds back
on beneficial economic
regionalism, citing
the importance of settling
the question of Jammu
and Kashmir first. Negative
thinking is also pervasive
in New Delhi, where
the tunnel vision and
tight-fistedness of
its economic bureaucracy
is constraining rather
than facilitating the
integration of the subcontinent.
Despite the dramatic
surge in its exports
to its South Asian neighbours
and much slower rise
in imports from the
neighbours during the
1990s, India has been
niggardly in opening
its market.
South
Asians nations have
wallowed in poverty
for so long and marketed
it abroad for aid that
they find it hard to
conceive of shared prosperity
through greater economic
integration. Breaking
out of this cycle is
possible only if South
Asian states move towards
depoliticising issues
of economic cooperation
and building the habits
of cooperative security.
Depoliticisation of
economic cooperation
need not mean avoiding
the negotiation on long-standing
political disputes.
Finding final settlements
to difficult issues,
completing the negotiations
on delineation of boundaries,
respecting the security
concerns of others are
all in the self-interest
of individual nations
of South Asia. The temptation
to put either one --
conflict resolution
and normalisation of
bilateral relations
-- ahead of the other
has resulted in lack
of movement on both
fronts. Cooperative
security demands walking
on both legsexpanding
economic cooperation
wherever possible and
making sustained efforts
to resolve political
disputes.
The
12th SAARC Summit at
Islamabad in January
2004 had also provided
a venue for a long-delayed
engagement between the
leaderships of India
and Pakistan. And going
beyond expectations
the two sides produced
a framework to renew
the peace process on
January 6. Since then
the process has survived
an expected change of
government in New Delhi
in the general elections.
The first round of talks
at the official and
ministerial level since
then has produced a
broad range of possibilities
for cooperation. A whole
range of confidence-building
measures on subjects
ranging from nuclear
and conventional military
stability to the dispute
over Jammu and Kashmir
have been exchanged.
But the movement forward
appeared to have been
stalled by political
misperceptions. Some
of these seemed to have
been cleared in the
meeting between the
Indian Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh and the
Pakistan President Pervez
Musharraf on the margins
of the United Nations
General Assembly on
September 24, 200414.
Both sides have claimed
a breakthrough and called
it a historic moment.
Such proclamations must
always be taken with
a pinch of salt. But
it will be a mistake
to under-estimate the
significance of what
has been said. The two
leaders 'addressed the
issue of Jammu and Kashmir
and agreed that possible
options for a peaceful,
negotiated settlement
of the issue should
be explored in a sincere
spirit and purposeful
manner'. For the first
time in decades, the
two sides have now agreed
at the highest level
to look at potential
solutions to the conflict
in Kashmir. They have
at the same time, 'agreed
that confidence building
measures (CBMs) of all
categories under discussion
between the two governments
should be implemented
keeping in mind practical
possibilities'. This
political understanding
to 'walk on both legs'
--simultaneously address
the most divisive dispute
as well as expand economic
cooperation -- could
indeed constitute a
new beginning in Indo-Pak
relations. If the elements
of cooperative security
that have been identified
on the Indo-Pak agenda
begin to get implemented,
it could profoundly
transform the security
environment in the subcontinent.
(C.
Raja Mohan is Professor
of South Asian Studies
at Jawaharlal Nehru
University, New Delhi)
End Notes
- For
a current defence
of the notion of collective
security see, Charles
A. Kupchan and Clifford
A. Kupchan, 'The Promise
of Collective Security',
International Security
(Cambridge, MA), vol.
20, no.1, Summer 1995,
pp. 52-61.
- For
the basic neo-realist
conception of international
relations, see Kenneth
Waltz, Theory of International
Relations (New York:
Addison-Wesley, 1979).
- For
an exposition on the
idea of common security,
see, The Independent
Commission on Disarmament
and Security Issues,
Common Security: A
Blueprint for Survival,
(New York: Simon and
Schuster, 1982).
- For
a comparative discussion
of the various concepts,
see, David Dewitt,
'Common, Comprehensive,
and Cooperative Security',
The Pacific Review
(London), vol.7, no.
1, 1994, pp. 1-19.
- For
a comprehensive review
of the idea of human
security, see, Kanti
Bajpai, 'The Idea
of Human Security',
International Studies
(New Delhi), vol.
40. no. 3, July-September
2003, pp. 195-228.
- For
a comprehensive role
in the American promotion
of Islamic extremism
during between the
1970s and 80s against
the Soviet Union,
see, John K. Cooley,
Unholy Wars: Afghanistan,
America and International
Terrorism(New Delhi:
Penguin, 2001)
- For
an analysis of the
impact of American
war on terrorism after
911 on South Asia,
see, C. Raja Mohan,
'Catharsis and Catalysis:
Transforming the South
Asian Subcontinent
', in Ken Booth and
Tim Dunne (eds.),
Worlds in Collision:
Terror and the Future
of Global Order (New
York: Palgrave Macmillan,
2002), pp. 205-14.
- For
a discussion of India's
neighbourhood policy
after Cold War, see
S.D. Muni, 'Problem
Areas in India's Neighbourhood
Policy', South Asian
Survey (New Delhi),
vol.10, no.2, July-December
2003, pp.185-96.
- The
doctrine was first
articulated in a speech
by Mr. Gujral at the
Royal Institute of
International Affairs
in London during 1996.
The speech is reproduced
in I.K. Gujral, A
Foreign Policy for
India (New Delhi:
Ministry of External
Affairs, 1998), pp.69-81.
See also I.K. Gujral,
Continuity and Change:
India's Foreign Policy
(New Delhi: Macmillan,
2003), pp. 107-74.
- See
Yashwant Sinha, 'The
12th SAARC Summit
and Beyond', Seventh
Dinesh Singh Memorial
Lecture, New Delhi,
Sapru House, 3 February
2004. See also, C.
Raja Mohan, 'Neighbourhood
Policy: Yashwant Doctrine',
The Hindu (New Delhi),
13 January 2003.
- For
an early discussion
of cooperative security,
see, Janne Nolan (ed.),
Global Engagement:
Cooperation and Security
in the 21st Century,
(Washington DC: Brookings,
1994).
- 'The
Concept of Cooperative
Security and its Relationship
to Policy', unpublished
paper, 2001.
- Dipankar
Banerjee ( ed.), Comprehensive
and Cooperative Security
in South Asia (New
Delhi: Institute of
Peace and Conflict
Studies, 1998).
- The
text of the Joint
Statement issued by
the two leaders is
available at www.meaindia.nic.in
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