South Asia, a most
unpredictable nuclear
flash point in the world,
is beset with numerous
and conflicting security
challenges resulting
in intractable, and
also quite discernible,
dilemmas not only at
the interstate and intrastate
levels, but also between
human security and military
security. The ongoing
conflicts often spill
over ethnically and
geographically contiguous,
mostly porous, frontiers
bringing states into
conflict, fuelling ethnic
and communal divides
and kicking an arms
race, on the one hand,
and bringing greater
misery to the people
who have been the worst
sufferer in conflict
situations, on the other.
There are two principal
dilemmas, besides others,
that confront South
Asian countries: One,
the dilemma of military
security and human security:
If the countries of
South Asia concentrate
excessively on military
security, as they do
in most countries and
need not to, they without
making military security
'impregnable' undermine
human security in both
relative and absolute
terms in all its facets.
And if they try to 'strike
a balance' between the
two, which still remains
biased against human
security, they miss
their inflated military
objectives while keeping
the human security at
an abysmally low level.
The dilemma of maintaining
higher expenditure on
military security at
the cost of human security
continues to exacerbate
since a flawed doctrine
of nuclear deterrence
and the arms race in
the subcontinent, nuclear
and missile race in
particular, are escalatory
in nature. Given so
close a contiguous region,
the de facto and unsafe
nuclear regimes in the
subcontinent, leave
no time to preempt even
an accidental nuclear
exchange or a false
alarm.
Greater emphasis on
military security has
resulted in an increase
of 44 per cent in military
expenditure in South
Asia, which is relatively
the highest in the world
and is equal only to
North Africa. It rose
from US$12 billion in
1993 to US$ 17.3 billion
in 2002. As a consequence,
and besides other reasons,
human security continues
to be undermined since
42 per cent or 488 million
people out of a population
of 1.4 billion live
on less than a dollar
a day, making South
Asia home to nearly
half of the world's
poor. India, ranked
eleventh among the big
spenders on defence,
followed by Russia,
increased its defence
expenditure from US$
8051 million in 1990
to US$ 12882 million
in 2003. Pakistan's
defence spending rose
from US$ 2636 million
in 1990 to US$ 3176
million in 2003, despite
a worse period of fiscal
crisis and sanctions.
As compared to their
excessively wasteful
and increasing military
spending, the people
suffer in innumerable
ways as depicted by
one of the lowest levels
of human development
indices, lagging behind
even Sub-Saharan Africa
on certain crucial human
indicators. In India,
34.7 per cent of the
population lives below
US$1 a day, share of
poorest 20 per cent
in national income/consumption
stands at 8.1 per cent,
47 per cent children
are underweight for
their age - one per
cent less than Afghanistan,
number of under-nourished
people declined by just
one per cent from 25
per cent in 1990/92
to 24 per cent in 1998/2000,
youth illiteracy rate
persisted at 26.7 per
cent, till 1992, etc.
On the other hand, in
Pakistan, the people
living below poverty-line
increased from 18 per
cent in 1987 to 37 per
cent today, 38 per cent
children are underweight
for their age, under-nourished
population decreased
from 25 per cent in
1990/92 to 19 per cent
in 1998/2000 and youth
illiteracy still stands
at 38.4 per cent.
The other crucial security
dilemma is the over-lapping
of intrastate conflict
with interstate conflict,
or vice a versa. When
a nation-state acts
against its dispossessed
and oppressed ethnic
or/and religious minority,
with ethno-lingual-religious
affinities across the
frontiers, it comes
into conflict with the
other nation-state,
turning an intrastate
conflict, at the same
time, into an interstate
conflict. And if it
doesn't act against
its ethno-lingual minority
or a community of people,
seeking separation or
a right to interact
or merge with its counter-part
divided by a border
or seek a sanctuary
across an international
frontier, it allows
the other nation-state
to benefit from such
a restraint or provoke
an interstate conflict.
The Tamils' struggle
against the Sinahla-Buddhist
dominated-state of Sri
Lanka and latter's military
response against them
incite sentiments among
the Tamils of India,
Tamil Nadu state in
particular, and brings
Colombo under New Delhi's
pressure to not to concede
independence to the
secessionists or how
not to make an adjustment.
The dangerous spillover
of this intrastate conflict
could be gauged from
deployment of the Indian
troops in Sri Lanka
at one point of time
and assassination of
former prime minister
Rajiv Gandhi at the
hands of a Tamil suicide-bomber.
Similarly, various nationalist
insurgencies in India's
north-eastern states
have dragged Bhutan,
Bangladesh and Burma
into the intrastate
conflicts of India.
The case of Bhutanese
refugees, an intra-state
issue, has resulted
in souring of relations
between Nepal and Bhutan.
Demographic explosion,
especially economic
migration and water
and resource distribution,
is also causing interstate
and intrastate conflicts.
The spillover of an
intrastate conflict
between the two wings
of Pakistan - East and
West Pakistan - in 1970-71,
led to a war between
India and Pakistan,
resulting in the dismemberment
of the country and allowing
the people of East Bengal
to exercise their right
to self-determination,
despite having acceded
to Pakistan in 1947.
The dispute over Jammu
and Kashmir, arbitrarily
divided between India
and Pakistan, has kept
the relationship between
the two neighbours a
hostage to the conflict,
resulting in two full
scale wars and one local
military duel between
the two countries. The
interstate and intrastate
conflicts also provide
room for foreign intervention
and weaker parties try
to seek alignment with
outside powers to counter-balance
the stronger adversary.
If viewed from the
peoples' viewpoint,
and in the collective
interest of the South
Asian region, these
security challenges
can be met collectively
and conflicts can be
resolved to the mutual
benefit of the parties
involved while saving
people from greater
misery and dislocation.
As we witness a wave
of reconciliation across
South Asian region,
the efforts should be
doubled to solve all
disputes peacefully
and through composite,
sustainable and result-oriented
negotiations. The time
has come that member
countries of South Asian
Association for Regional
Cooperation (SAARC)
not only build a solid
foundation for economic
and cultural cooperation
by agreeing to South
Asian Free Trade Area
(SAFTA) and moving towards
a South Asian Union,
besides developing a
mechanism to resolve
disputes peacefully
and evolving a South
Asian collective security
system, instead of allowing
the domination of one
country over the other.